The man that has predicted almost every election now has said that Donald Trump is going to win. Check some excerpts from The Independent.
Mr Gore won the popular vote, but following a disputde result in Florida, George W Bush was awarded more votes in the Electoral College and thus won the election.
The model suggests that the candidate who performs better in their parties primary race will go on to win the presidency.
Professor Norpoth told the New York Post: “I think he was the strongest candidate in the primaries and that he will prevail.
“The model predicted a Trump win in February and nothing has changed since then. Whatever happens in the real world doesn’t affect the model”.
Now the main thing that this does NOT factor in are the recent slew of sexual misconduct allegations that Trump faces. Most of them are recent. So, is Professor Norpoth a crackpot that has antiquated ways to guess the winner? I don’t know. I hope he is wrong, because America will be a laughing stock with concentration camps if Trump wins!
Then again…
